climate change

GlobalPolicyLab Member

Tidal flooding, hurricane risk grow along New Jersey coast, new study finds by GlobalPolicyLab Member

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New Jersey’s coast is under growing risk of tidal flooding and hurricane-caused floods as the world’s climate continues to change, according to a new report by the Rhodium Group’s Energy & Climate Team and collaborators from the UC Berkeley-based Global Policy Lab and the University of Chicago.

The report finds that frequent flooding risk threatens 23,000 more homes and other buildings worth a total of $13 billion in New Jersey compared to homes and buildings threatened in the state by 1980 sea levels.

Another 62,000 to 86,000 more homes and commercial properties in the state, worth more than $60 billion, sit in areas with a 1-in-30 chance of hurricane flooding, the report finds. That risk extends inland too, with the chance of hurricane-force winds affecting the average New Jersey home outside coastal counties growing from 1 in 200 four decades ago to between 1 in 30 and 1 in 100 in any given year now.

By mid-century, another 33,000 to 58,000 buildings in the state will flood frequently, the report finds.

The report’s authors are Hannah Hess, Michael Delgado, Ali Hamidi and Trevor Houser from the Rhodium Group, Ian Bolliger and Solomon Hsiang of UC Berkeley and Michael Greenstone from the University of Chicago.

Paper: The Distribution of Environmental Damages by GlobalPolicyLab Member

Solomon Hsiang has a new joint paper with Paulina Oliva, and Reed Walker reviewing and exploring what is known about the distributional consequences of environmental damages and the benefits of environmental policy. They provide a general framework for empiricists and explore what is known in the context of pollution, deforestation, and climate. The NBER working paper is available online here. The article is forthcoming in the Review of Environmental Economics and Policy.

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Publication: Crop-damaging temperatures increase suicide rates in India by GlobalPolicyLab Member

Tamma Carleton has a new paper out in PNAS linking the climate to suicide rates in India. 

The analysis is the first to provide large-scale empirical evidence that the climate influences suicide rates in a developing country. The study shows that temperature during India's main agricultural growing season has a substantial influence over annual suicide rates, such that heating up the country by just 1 degree C on one day causes approximately 65 annual suicides. This effect appears to materialize through an agricultural channel in which high temperatures cause crop losses and economic distress, leading some to commit suicide in response. Carleton estimates that warming trends experienced in India since 1980 are responsible for a total of over 59,000 suicides.

See the paper here.

Discussing the future of energy at MIT by GlobalPolicyLab Member

Sol spoke at MIT's EmTech conference alongside MIT's Donald Sadoway about the future of energy.

Sol speaks at MIT about the impact of climate change

Donald Sadoway speaks at MIT about preventing climate change through engineering innovation. 

Documentary movie on climate as a cause of conflict by GlobalPolicyLab Member

Want to be on the silver screen? Get a PhD. Sol was interviewed for a new documentary (which he hasn't seen yet). 

What the filmmakers say about it

‘The Hurt Locker’ meets ‘An Inconvenient Truth’, THE AGE OF CONSEQUENCES investigates the impacts of climate change on increased resource scarcity, migration, and conflict through the lens of US national security and global stability.
Through unflinching case-study analysis, distinguished admirals, generals and military veterans take us beyond the headlines of the conflict in Syria, the social unrest of the Arab Spring, the rise of radicalized groups like ISIS, and the European refugee crisis – and lay bare how climate change stressors interact with societal tensions, sparking conflict.
Whether a long-term vulnerability or sudden shock, the film unpacks how water and food shortages, drought, extreme weather, and sea-level rise function as ‘accelerants of instability’ and ‘catalysts for conflict’ in volatile regions of the world.
 
 

Publication: Conflict in a changing climate by GlobalPolicyLab Member

Tamma and Sol, along with co-author Marshall Burke at Stanford, published a review of the climate and violence literature in a Special Topics issue of the European Physical Journal.

The review focuses on how to use empirical evidence from historical climate-conflict relationships to make projections about the future. We present new evidence suggesting that income mitigates the impact of temperature on crime and conflict, implying that future projections may be improved by incorporating income-based adaptation. Check out a more detailed blog post about the publication on the blog G-FEED here

Book published on economic risk of climate change by GlobalPolicyLab Member

Amir Jina, James Rising, and Solomon Hsiang were coauthors on the book "Economic Risks of Climate Change: An American Prospectus" published by Columbia University Press. The analysis in the book was the research behind the Risky Business initiative lead by Michael Bloomberg, Hank Paulson and Tom Steyer. Commentary by Karen Fisher-Vanden, Michael Greenstone, Geoffrey Heal, Michael Oppenheimer, and Nicholas Stern and Bob Ward enrich the original analysis.

Get the book on Amazon.